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Every US forecast, compared
CheckWeather US›Louisville

Louisville weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Clear
Feels 77° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 55%
AmericanNOAA GFS
73°
Clear
Feels 73° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 60%
EuropeanECMWF
75°
Clear
Feels 75° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 52%

Latest for Louisville: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 76° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 73° Clear · European (ECMWF): 75° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Louisville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Louisville, KY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 30°F), with roughly 44 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Louisville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Louisville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
45°
30°
Feb
55°
35°
Mar
59°
39°
Apr
68°
47°
May
77°
58°
Jun
84°
64°
Jul
87°
69°
Aug
85°
67°
Sep
82°
62°
Oct
71°
51°
Nov
59°
42°
Dec
49°
35°

Which forecast is most accurate in Louisville?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
96
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±1.1 mph9597% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
86
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±1.8 mph045% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Louisville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Louisville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Louisville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Louisville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Louisville?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Louisville forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Louisville?
Jul is typically the warmest month in Louisville, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Louisville get?
The coldest month in Louisville is Jan, when overnight lows average about 30°F.
How much rain does Louisville get?
Louisville sees roughly 44 in of precipitation a year, with Jan usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

NWSNational Weather Service
Open model · shown above ✓AWAccuWeather
Closed model · open ↗↗TWCThe Weather Channel
Closed model · open ↗↗

Nearby

JeffersonvilleClarksvilleNew AlbanyOak ParkShivelySaint MatthewsSaint DennisBuechel

More US weather

Most accurate forecastUS rain radarAll US citiesHoliday weather abroadThe European model vs the American model: ECMWF vs GFSThe national forecast models, explained: NBM, UKMO, GEM and ACCESS