Manhattan weather
Loading live data…Cloudy,cooler tomorrow
NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Manhattan today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 72°, with a 1% chance of rain.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.Manhattan weather alerts and warnings
active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisoriesChecking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Manhattan…
Manhattan weather in numbers
from 30 years of measured normalsManhattan swings 57°F across the year, from 86°F highs in July to 29°F lows in February, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 56 in of precipitation.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Manhattan and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Manhattan hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Manhattan 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitManhattan, New York (NY). Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Manhattan right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Manhattan's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.
Manhattan weather by month
what to expect in Manhattan through the yearHere is Manhattan's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Manhattan by season.
What Manhattan's weather is like through the year
Manhattan runs from warm summers, with July highs near 86°F, to cold winters, when February lows sit around 29°F (a swing of about 57°F across the year). March is usually the wettest month, and Manhattan sees roughly 56 inches of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 2 months (January and February), so Manhattan sees regular winter snowfall.
Best time to visit Manhattan
The most comfortable time to visit Manhattan is usually April, May, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest March rain is behind you.
Which forecast is most accurate in Manhattan?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Manhattan, scoring 87/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 79. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.