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CheckWeather US›Modesto

Modesto weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Clear
Feels 81° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 37%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Clear
Feels 80° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 40%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Clear
Feels 76° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 37%

Latest for Modesto: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 83° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 83° Clear · European (ECMWF): 80° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Modesto and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Modesto, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 104°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 40°F), with roughly 24 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Modesto right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Modesto climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
42°
Feb
58°
40°
Mar
61°
43°
Apr
71°
48°
May
81°
54°
Jun
92°
61°
Jul
104°
68°
Aug
99°
66°
Sep
91°
61°
Oct
83°
56°
Nov
65°
45°
Dec
59°
43°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Modesto today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Modesto today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Modesto today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Modesto and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Modesto?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Modesto forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Modesto?
Jul is typically the warmest month in Modesto, with average highs around 104°F.
How cold does Modesto get?
The coldest month in Modesto is Feb, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Modesto get?
Modesto sees roughly 24 in of precipitation a year, with Jan usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

NWSNational Weather Service
Open model · shown above ✓AWAccuWeather
Closed model · open ↗↗TWCThe Weather Channel
Closed model · open ↗↗

Nearby

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