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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Moline weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 75° in Moline today. Tomorrow looks showers around 82°, with a 76% chance of rain.

75°66°
82°69°
72°61°
62°58°
61°54°
67°50°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Sundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
75°
Light rain
Today 75°·Low 65°·Rain 44%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Light rain
Today 74°·Low 66°·Rain 44%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Drizzle
Today 78°·Low 67°·Rain 100%
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Moline weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Moline weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Moline swings 64°F across the year, from 84°F highs in June to 20°F lows in January, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 32 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
June
84°F average high
Coldest month
January
20°F average low
Wettest month
March
32 in a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and December
Comfortable
3 months
April, May and October
Residents
43,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Moline and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Moline hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Moline 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
75° 66°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
82° 69°
±5°
Sun
Rain
72° 61°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
62° 58°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
61° 54°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
67° 50°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
67° 54°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
68° 55°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
70° 55°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
71° 55°
±10°
Mon
Drizzle
67° 54°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
56° 50°
±17°
Wed
Cloudy
65° 46°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
72° 50°
models agree

Moline, Illinois (IL) is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 20°F), with roughly 32 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Moline right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Moline climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
32°
20°
Feb
45°
25°
Mar
50°
33°
Apr
62°
42°
May
76°
54°
Jun
84°
64°
Jul
84°
66°
Aug
83°
65°
Sep
79°
60°
Oct
66°
49°
Nov
50°
36°
Dec
40°
28°

Which forecast is most accurate in Moline?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
65
/100rank #2
73±2.7°F94±1.8 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°74° to 78°±56%44% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±5°80° to 85°±35%41% to 76% chance
Sun±3°71° to 74°±9%76% to 85% chance
Mon±4°61° to 64°±1%53% to 54% chance
Tue±1°61° to 62°±9%31% to 40% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Moline

today, local time
Sunrise
06:45
Sunset
19:05
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Moline today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Moline today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Moline today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Moline and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Moline?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Moline (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 65. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Moline?
June is typically the warmest month in Moline, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Moline get?
The coldest month in Moline is January, when overnight lows average about 20°F.
How much rain does Moline get?
Moline sees roughly 32 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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