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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Montgomery weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 95° in Montgomery today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 96°, with a 47% chance of rain.

95°68°
96°74°
92°74°
93°73°
92°72°
90°71°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Sundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
95°
Mostly clear
Today 95°·Low 69°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
96°
Cloudy
Today 96°·Low 68°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
93°
Clear
Today 93°·Low 67°·Rain 0%
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Montgomery weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Montgomery weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Montgomery swings 53°F across the year, from 94°F highs in August to 41°F lows in January, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 51 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
94°F average high
Coldest month
January
41°F average low
Wettest month
March
51 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, April, November and December
Residents
195,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Montgomery and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Montgomery hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Montgomery 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
95° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
96° 74°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
92° 74°
models agree
Mon
Thunderstorm
93° 73°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
92° 72°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
90° 71°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
87° 71°
±7°
Fri
Mostly clear
87° 70°
±9°
Sat
Mostly clear
86° 67°
±7°
Sun
Cloudy
83° 67°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
84° 67°
±6°
Tue
Drizzle
85° 66°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
85° 63°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
85° 61°
±7°

Montgomery, Alabama (AL) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 94°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 41°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Montgomery right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Montgomery climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
59°
41°
Feb
67°
47°
Mar
70°
50°
Apr
77°
56°
May
84°
64°
Jun
90°
70°
Jul
92°
74°
Aug
94°
74°
Sep
87°
69°
Oct
79°
58°
Nov
69°
51°
Dec
61°
42°

Which forecast is most accurate in Montgomery?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±1.0 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
60
/100rank #2
77±2.3°F91±2.7 mph1855% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°93° to 96°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±5°94° to 99°±34%13% to 47% chance
Sun±1°92° to 93°±11%24% to 35% chance
Mon±3°91° to 94°±23%24% to 47% chance
Tue±2°91° to 93°±19%30% to 49% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Montgomery

today, local time
Sunrise
06:30
Sunset
18:47
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Montgomery today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Montgomery today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Montgomery today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Montgomery and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Montgomery?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Montgomery (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 60. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Montgomery?
August is typically the warmest month in Montgomery, with average highs around 94°F.
How cold does Montgomery get?
The coldest month in Montgomery is January, when overnight lows average about 41°F.
How much rain does Montgomery get?
Montgomery sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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