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Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 12°F

Murray weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Murray's high today between 72° and 84°, a 12° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 70°, with a 73% chance of rain.

77°59°
70°54°
74°50°
80°55°
77°61°
80°58°
Todaysplit ±12°Tomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
74°
Rain
Today 74°·Low 59°·Rain 47%
AmericanNOAA GFS
84°
Heavy rain
Today 84°·Low 60°·Rain 47%
EuropeanECMWF
72°
Light rain
Today 72°·Low 58°·Rain 99%
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Murray weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Murray weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Murray swings 71°F across the year, from 95°F highs in July to 24°F lows in February, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 22 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
95°F average high
Coldest month
February
24°F average low
Wettest month
March
22 in a year
Below freezing
5 months
January, February, March, November and December
Comfortable
2 months
May and October
Residents
49,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Murray and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Murray hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Murray 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
77° 59°
±12°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
70° 54°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
74° 50°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
80° 55°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
77° 61°
±8°
Wed
Partly cloudy
80° 58°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
84° 59°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
83° 63°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
82° 65°
±9°
Sun
Light drizzle
79° 64°
±9°
Mon
Clear
78° 59°
±19°
Tue
Light drizzle
78° 58°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
85° 63°
models agree
Thu
Clear
75° 62°
±12°

Murray, Utah (UT) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 95°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 24°F), with roughly 22 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Murray right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Murray climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
38°
26°
Feb
41°
24°
Mar
46°
29°
Apr
58°
37°
May
71°
47°
Jun
83°
59°
Jul
95°
68°
Aug
90°
66°
Sep
82°
58°
Oct
68°
47°
Nov
49°
31°
Dec
42°
27°

Which forecast is most accurate in Murray?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F93±2.2 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F86±4.2 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±12°72° to 84°±52%47% to 99% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree70° to 70°±64%9% to 73% chance
Sun±4°73° to 77°±1%2% to 3% chance
Mon±3°79° to 82°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±8°73° to 81°±7%26% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Murray

today, local time
Sunrise
07:11
Sunset
19:31
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Murray today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Murray today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Murray today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Murray and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Murray?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Murray (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Murray?
July is typically the warmest month in Murray, with average highs around 95°F.
How cold does Murray get?
The coldest month in Murray is February, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Murray get?
Murray sees roughly 22 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

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