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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Napa weather

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Fog,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Napa today. Tomorrow looks fog around 81°, with a 0% chance of rain.

81°53°
81°56°
74°56°
75°55°
78°55°
90°56°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Fog
Today 80°·Low 53°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Fog
Today 81°·Low 52°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Mostly clear
Today 81°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
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Napa weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Napa weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Napa swings 51°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 39°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 39 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
90°F average high
Coldest month
February
39°F average low
Wettest month
January
39 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, November and December
Residents
80,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Napa and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Napa hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Napa 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Fog
81° 53°
models agree
Tomorrow
Fog
81° 56°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
74° 56°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
75° 55°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
78° 55°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
90° 56°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
88° 60°
±13°
Fri
Mostly clear
78° 58°
±10°
Sat
Partly cloudy
78° 57°
±16°
Sun
Partly cloudy
79° 56°
±13°
Mon
Partly cloudy
81° 56°
±11°
Tue
Drizzle
82° 55°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
81° 54°
±10°
Thu
Clear
78° 53°
models agree

Napa, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 39°F), with roughly 39 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Napa right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Napa climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
58°
42°
Feb
58°
39°
Mar
59°
42°
Apr
68°
44°
May
74°
50°
Jun
81°
54°
Jul
90°
57°
Aug
87°
57°
Sep
82°
55°
Oct
80°
53°
Nov
65°
44°
Dec
60°
43°

Which forecast is most accurate in Napa?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F98±0.6 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
93
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°80° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°80° to 82°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±4°72° to 76°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°73° to 76°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°77° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Napa

today, local time
Sunrise
06:53
Sunset
19:12
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Napa today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Napa today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Napa today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Napa and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Napa?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Napa (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 93. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Napa?
July is typically the warmest month in Napa, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Napa get?
The coldest month in Napa is February, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Napa get?
Napa sees roughly 39 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather