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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Newark weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in Newark today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 72°, with a 2% chance of rain.

83°70°
72°59°
70°62°
69°60°
63°56°
64°54°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
82°
Partly cloudy
Today 82°·Low 71°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
84°
Cloudy
Today 84°·Low 69°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 71°·Rain 49%
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Newark weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Newark weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Newark swings 59°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 28°F lows in February, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 53 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
87°F average high
Coldest month
February
28°F average low
Wettest month
March
53 in a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and December
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
282,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Newark and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Newark hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Newark 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
83° 70°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
72° 59°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
70° 62°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
69° 60°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
63° 56°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
64° 54°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
62° 55°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
66° 54°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
70° 57°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
73° 58°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
72° 58°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
76° 61°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
80° 62°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
70° 56°
±7°

Newark, New Jersey (NJ) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 28°F), with roughly 53 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Newark right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Newark climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
31°
Feb
46°
28°
Mar
52°
34°
Apr
63°
44°
May
72°
52°
Jun
81°
62°
Jul
87°
69°
Aug
82°
65°
Sep
77°
59°
Oct
69°
49°
Nov
55°
38°
Dec
45°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Newark?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F98±0.6 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F94±2.0 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°82° to 84°±45%4% to 49% chance
Tomorrow±2°72° to 73°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±6°67° to 73°±8%83% to 91% chance
Mon±2°67° to 70°±5%69% to 74% chance
Tue±1°63° to 64°±17%10% to 27% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Newark

today, local time
Sunrise
06:40
Sunset
19:00
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Newark today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Newark today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Newark today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Newark and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Newark?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Newark (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Newark?
July is typically the warmest month in Newark, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Newark get?
The coldest month in Newark is February, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does Newark get?
Newark sees roughly 53 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

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