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CheckWeather USO'Fallon

O'Fallon weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Partly cloudy
Feels 84° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 51%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Partly cloudy
Feels 80° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 51%
EuropeanECMWF
79°
Overcast
Feels 83° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 46%

Latest for O'Fallon: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 80° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 78° Partly cloudy · European (ECMWF): 79° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around O'Fallon and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

O'Fallon, MO is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 27°F), with roughly 45 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for O'Fallon right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

O'Fallon climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
42°
27°
Feb
53°
33°
Mar
58°
38°
Apr
69°
48°
May
79°
58°
Jun
87°
66°
Jul
88°
70°
Aug
86°
69°
Sep
81°
62°
Oct
71°
51°
Nov
57°
40°
Dec
48°
34°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in O'Fallon today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for O'Fallon today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in O'Fallon today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for O'Fallon and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for O'Fallon?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the O'Fallon forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in O'Fallon?
Jul is typically the warmest month in O'Fallon, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does O'Fallon get?
The coldest month in O'Fallon is Jan, when overnight lows average about 27°F.
How much rain does O'Fallon get?
O'Fallon sees roughly 45 in of precipitation a year, with Aug usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

Nearby

More US weather