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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Orlando weather

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Thunderstorm,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 86° in Orlando today. Tomorrow looks showers around 83°, with a 100% chance of rain.

86°74°
83°73°
84°73°
88°74°
89°75°
88°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Sundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±8°Tuesdaysplit ±14°Wednesdaysplit ±11°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Thunderstorm
Today 87°·Low 75°·Rain 35%
AmericanNOAA GFS
88°
Showers
Today 88°·Low 74°·Rain 35%
EuropeanECMWF
84°
Showers
Today 84°·Low 74°·Rain 94%
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Orlando weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Orlando weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Orlando swings 37°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 53°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 64 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
90°F average high
Coldest month
January
53°F average low
Wettest month
September
64 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, November and December
Residents
335,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Orlando and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Orlando hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Orlando 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Thunderstorm
86° 74°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
83° 73°
±4°
Sun
Drizzle
84° 73°
models agree
Mon
Showers
88° 74°
±8°
Tue
Showers
89° 75°
±14°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
88° 75°
±11°
Thu
Drizzle
88° 75°
±8°
Fri
Drizzle
87° 75°
±10°
Sat
Drizzle
86° 75°
±8°
Sun
Drizzle
86° 74°
±12°
Mon
Light drizzle
86° 73°
±11°
Tue
Thunderstorm
87° 73°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
84° 74°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
79° 73°
±4°

Orlando, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 53°F), with roughly 64 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Orlando right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Orlando climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
71°
53°
Feb
76°
55°
Mar
81°
60°
Apr
83°
63°
May
88°
69°
Jun
89°
73°
Jul
90°
76°
Aug
90°
76°
Sep
87°
73°
Oct
82°
67°
Nov
77°
61°
Dec
71°
56°

Which forecast is most accurate in Orlando?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F97±1.1 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
52
/100rank #2
58±4.2°F88±3.6 mph1855% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°84° to 88°±59%35% to 94% chance
Tomorrow±4°82° to 86°±62%38% to 100% chance
Sun±3°83° to 86°±27%61% to 88% chance
Mon±8°85° to 93°±20%76% to 96% chance
Tue±14°84° to 98°±16%78% to 94% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Orlando

today, local time
Sunrise
07:12
Sunset
19:26
Daylight
12h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Orlando today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Orlando today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Orlando today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Orlando and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Orlando?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Orlando (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 52. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Orlando?
July is typically the warmest month in Orlando, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Orlando get?
The coldest month in Orlando is January, when overnight lows average about 53°F.
How much rain does Orlando get?
Orlando sees roughly 64 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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