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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Oxnard weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 75° in Oxnard today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 76°, with a 2% chance of rain.

75°60°
76°60°
75°63°
73°64°
73°64°
77°66°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Clear
Today 73°·Low 61°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
76°
Mostly clear
Today 76°·Low 58°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
75°
Mostly clear
Today 75°·Low 61°·Rain 0%
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Oxnard weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Oxnard weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Oxnard swings 28°F across the year, from 74°F highs in August to 46°F lows in January, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 26 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
74°F average high
Coldest month
January
46°F average low
Wettest month
February
26 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, April, May and June
Residents
207,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Oxnard and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Oxnard hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Oxnard 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
75° 60°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
76° 60°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
75° 63°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
73° 64°
models agree
Tue
Clear
73° 64°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
77° 66°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
76° 67°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
76° 67°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
77° 66°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
79° 66°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
80° 67°
±12°
Tue
Cloudy
80° 71°
±5°
Wed
Clear
75° 68°
±5°
Thu
Clear
74° 65°
±7°

Oxnard, California (CA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 74°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 46°F), with roughly 26 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Oxnard right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Oxnard climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
61°
46°
Feb
60°
46°
Mar
59°
47°
Apr
62°
49°
May
63°
53°
Jun
68°
56°
Jul
73°
58°
Aug
74°
60°
Sep
73°
59°
Oct
72°
55°
Nov
68°
50°
Dec
65°
48°

Which forecast is most accurate in Oxnard?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F96±1.2 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
68±3.2°F94±1.8 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°73° to 76°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°74° to 77°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±2°73° to 76°models agree2% to 2% chance
Mon±3°72° to 75°±1%1% to 2% chance
Tue±3°72° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Oxnard

today, local time
Sunrise
06:42
Sunset
18:58
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Oxnard today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Oxnard today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Oxnard today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Oxnard and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Oxnard?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Oxnard (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Oxnard?
August is typically the warmest month in Oxnard, with average highs around 74°F.
How cold does Oxnard get?
The coldest month in Oxnard is January, when overnight lows average about 46°F.
How much rain does Oxnard get?
Oxnard sees roughly 26 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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