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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Paradise weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 95° in Paradise today. Tomorrow looks clear around 95°, with a 0% chance of rain.

95°76°
95°69°
94°73°
90°77°
90°74°
94°76°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±8°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
95°
Clear
Today 95°·Low 78°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
95°
Clear
Today 95°·Low 75°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
95°
Clear
Today 95°·Low 75°·Rain 0%
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Paradise weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Paradise…

Paradise weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Paradise swings 72°F across the year, from 110°F highs in July to 38°F lows in January, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 7 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
110°F average high
Coldest month
January
38°F average low
Wettest month
February
7 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
3 months
March, November and December
Residents
223,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Paradise and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Paradise hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Paradise 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
95° 76°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
95° 69°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
94° 73°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
90° 77°
±8°
Tue
Mostly clear
90° 74°
±5°
Wed
Clear
94° 76°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
97° 79°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
94° 79°
±8°
Sat
Mostly clear
96° 79°
±8°
Sun
Mostly clear
96° 79°
±9°
Mon
Mostly clear
96° 79°
±13°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
97° 82°
±5°
Wed
Clear
95° 75°
±9°
Thu
Clear
88° 74°
±19°

Paradise, Nevada (NV) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 110°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 38°F), with roughly 7 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Paradise right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Paradise climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
55°
38°
Feb
59°
40°
Mar
65°
46°
Apr
80°
55°
May
89°
65°
Jun
99°
74°
Jul
110°
83°
Aug
102°
79°
Sep
95°
70°
Oct
85°
61°
Nov
65°
44°
Dec
61°
41°

Which forecast is most accurate in Paradise?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F95±1.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
91
/100rank #2
92±0.8°F91±2.8 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°95° to 95°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°93° to 95°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±2°93° to 95°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±8°87° to 95°±5%20% to 25% chance
Tue±5°88° to 92°±4%25% to 29% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Paradise

today, local time
Sunrise
06:25
Sunset
18:43
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Paradise today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Paradise today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Paradise today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Paradise and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Paradise?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Paradise (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Paradise?
July is typically the warmest month in Paradise, with average highs around 110°F.
How cold does Paradise get?
The coldest month in Paradise is January, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Paradise get?
Paradise sees roughly 7 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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