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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Peoria weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Peoria's high today between 74° and 80°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks rain around 84°, with a 53% chance of rain.

77°68°
84°71°
73°64°
64°60°
62°56°
67°54°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Sundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Light drizzle
Today 78°·Low 68°·Rain 25%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Fog
Today 74°·Low 69°·Rain 25%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Showers
Today 80°·Low 68°·Rain 100%
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Peoria weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Peoria…

Peoria weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Peoria swings 61°F across the year, from 84°F highs in June to 23°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 34 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
June
84°F average high
Coldest month
January
23°F average low
Wettest month
July
34 in a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and December
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
115,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Peoria and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Peoria hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Peoria 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
77° 68°
±6°
Tomorrow
Rain
84° 71°
±5°
Sun
Light rain
73° 64°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
64° 60°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
62° 56°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
67° 54°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
68° 56°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
69° 57°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
69° 57°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
74° 55°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
69° 55°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
60° 51°
±19°
Wed
Partly cloudy
65° 47°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
72° 50°
±4°

Peoria, Illinois (IL) is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 23°F), with roughly 34 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Peoria right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Peoria climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
36°
23°
Feb
48°
27°
Mar
52°
34°
Apr
63°
43°
May
76°
55°
Jun
84°
64°
Jul
84°
66°
Aug
83°
66°
Sep
78°
60°
Oct
67°
49°
Nov
52°
37°
Dec
42°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Peoria?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F98±0.7 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F96±1.2 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°74° to 80°±75%25% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±5°81° to 86°±25%28% to 53% chance
Sun±3°72° to 75°±12%65% to 77% chance
Mon±2°63° to 65°±7%64% to 71% chance
Tue±3°60° to 63°±33%11% to 44% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Peoria

today, local time
Sunrise
06:42
Sunset
19:02
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Peoria today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Peoria today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Peoria today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Peoria and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Peoria?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Peoria (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Peoria?
June is typically the warmest month in Peoria, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Peoria get?
The coldest month in Peoria is January, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Peoria get?
Peoria sees roughly 34 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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