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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Philadelphia (Philly) weather

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Partly cloudy,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 84° in Philadelphia today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 75°, with a 3% chance of rain.

84°71°
75°63°
77°64°
70°61°
63°58°
64°56°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±9°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
82°
Partly cloudy
Today 82°·Low 71°·Rain 16%
AmericanNOAA GFS
85°
Cloudy
Today 85°·Low 71°·Rain 16%
EuropeanECMWF
85°
Light drizzle
Today 85°·Low 71°·Rain 56%
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Philadelphia weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Philadelphia weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Philadelphia swings 58°F across the year, from 89°F highs in July to 31°F lows in February, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 46 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
89°F average high
Coldest month
February
31°F average low
Wettest month
April
46 in a year
Below freezing
1 month
February
Comfortable
3 months
May, September and October
Residents
1.6 million
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Philadelphia and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Philadelphia in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Philadelphia, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Philadelphia hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Philadelphia 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
84° 71°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
75° 63°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
77° 64°
±9°
Mon
Light rain
70° 61°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
63° 58°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
64° 56°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
64° 56°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
69° 55°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
71° 56°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
73° 57°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
75° 58°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
80° 59°
models agree
Wed
Rain
72° 63°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
69° 56°
models agree

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (PA). Often shortened to Philly, Phila. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Philadelphia right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Philadelphia's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Philadelphia weather by month

what to expect in Philadelphia through the year

Here is Philadelphia's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Philadelphia by season.

Jan
46°
32°
Cool
Feb
49°
31°
Cool
Mar
55°
36°
Cool
Apr
67°
46°
Mild
Wettest
May
74°
53°
Warm
Jun
85°
63°
Hot
Jul
89°
70°
Hot
Aug
85°
67°
Hot
Sep
78°
61°
Warm
Oct
70°
50°
Mild
Nov
57°
40°
Cool
Dec
47°
33°
Cool

What Philadelphia's weather is like through the year

Philadelphia runs from warm summers, with July highs near 89°F, to cold winters, when February lows sit around 31°F (a swing of about 58°F across the year). April is usually the wettest month, and Philadelphia sees roughly 46 inches of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 1 month (February), so Philadelphia sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Philadelphia

The most comfortable time to visit Philadelphia is usually May, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Philadelphia?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F98±0.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
67
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±1.8 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Philadelphia, scoring 97/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 67. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°82° to 85°±40%16% to 56% chance
Tomorrow±2°74° to 76°±1%2% to 3% chance
Sun±9°73° to 82°±12%70% to 82% chance
Mon±2°69° to 71°±1%70% to 71% chance
Tue±4°61° to 65°±10%25% to 35% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Philadelphia

today, local time
Sunrise
06:44
Sunset
19:04
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Philadelphia today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Philadelphia today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Philadelphia today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Philadelphia and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Philadelphia?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Philadelphia (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 67. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Philadelphia?
July is typically the warmest month in Philadelphia, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Philadelphia get?
The coldest month in Philadelphia is February, when overnight lows average about 31°F.
How much rain does Philadelphia get?
Philadelphia sees roughly 46 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Philadelphia?
The most comfortable time to visit Philadelphia is usually May, September and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Philadelphia?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 1 month (February) in Philadelphia, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

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