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Every US forecast, compared
CheckWeather US›Providence

Providence weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
79°
Clear
Feels 83° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 43%
AmericanNOAA GFS
77°
Clear
Feels 78° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 37%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Clear
Feels 81° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 39%

Latest for Providence: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 79° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 77° Clear · European (ECMWF): 78° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Providence and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Providence, RI is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 25°F), with roughly 57 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Providence right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Providence climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
41°
28°
Feb
43°
25°
Mar
49°
32°
Apr
60°
41°
May
69°
49°
Jun
78°
59°
Jul
84°
68°
Aug
79°
63°
Sep
74°
58°
Oct
65°
48°
Nov
52°
36°
Dec
44°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Providence today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Providence today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Providence today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Providence and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Providence?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Providence forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Providence?
Jul is typically the warmest month in Providence, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Providence get?
The coldest month in Providence is Feb, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Providence get?
Providence sees roughly 57 in of precipitation a year, with Jan usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

NWSNational Weather Service
Open model · shown above ✓AWAccuWeather
Closed model · open ↗↗TWCThe Weather Channel
Closed model · open ↗↗

Nearby

East ProvidenceNorth ProvidenceCranstonSeekonkPawtucketCentral FallsJohnstonValley Falls

More US weather

Most accurate forecastUS rain radarAll US citiesHoliday weather abroadThe European model vs the American model: ECMWF vs GFSThe national forecast models, explained: NBM, UKMO, GEM and ACCESS