CheckWeather US›Rochester
Rochester weather
Loading live data…The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Rochester and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Loading the three model maps…
Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models7-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitRochester, MN is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 80°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 15°F), with roughly 35 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Rochester right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
Rochester climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical yearJan
27°
15°
Feb
37°
18°
Mar
43°
24°
Apr
55°
37°
May
71°
50°
Jun
79°
60°
Jul
80°
62°
Aug
80°
62°
Sep
76°
58°
Oct
61°
45°
Nov
45°
31°
Dec
35°
23°
Which forecast is most accurate in the US?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.
Common questions
What's the weather in Rochester today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Rochester today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rochester today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Rochester and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rochester?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Rochester forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Rochester?
Jul is typically the warmest month in Rochester, with average highs around 80°F.
How cold does Rochester get?
The coldest month in Rochester is Jan, when overnight lows average about 15°F.
How much rain does Rochester get?
Rochester sees roughly 35 in of precipitation a year, with Jun usually the wettest month.
The forecasts Americans check
The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.