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Every US forecast, compared
CheckWeather US›Rochester

Rochester weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
63°
Clear
Feels 63° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 71%
AmericanNOAA GFS
59°
Clear
Feels 58° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 81%
EuropeanECMWF
60°
Clear
Feels 58° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 68%

Latest for Rochester: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 63° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 59° Clear · European (ECMWF): 60° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Rochester and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Rochester, NY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 25°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Rochester right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Rochester climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
36°
27°
Feb
41°
25°
Mar
44°
30°
Apr
57°
39°
May
67°
49°
Jun
75°
59°
Jul
81°
64°
Aug
77°
62°
Sep
74°
58°
Oct
62°
48°
Nov
49°
37°
Dec
40°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Rochester today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Rochester today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rochester today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Rochester and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rochester?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Rochester forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Rochester?
Jul is typically the warmest month in Rochester, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Rochester get?
The coldest month in Rochester is Feb, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Rochester get?
Rochester sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with Aug usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

NWSNational Weather Service
Open model · shown above ✓AWAccuWeather
Closed model · open ↗↗TWCThe Weather Channel
Closed model · open ↗↗

Nearby

BrightonGates-North GatesIrondequoitNorth GatesGreeceHenriettaEast RochesterWest Henrietta

More US weather

Most accurate forecastUS rain radarAll US citiesHoliday weather abroadThe European model vs the American model: ECMWF vs GFSThe national forecast models, explained: NBM, UKMO, GEM and ACCESS