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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Roswell weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 92° in Roswell today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 92°, with a 47% chance of rain.

92°68°
92°67°
92°64°
91°68°
84°67°
77°65°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Sundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±12°Wednesdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
91°
Drizzle
Today 91°·Low 68°·Rain 14%
AmericanNOAA GFS
93°
Cloudy
Today 93°·Low 68°·Rain 14%
EuropeanECMWF
91°
Light drizzle
Today 91°·Low 67°·Rain 43%
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Roswell weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Roswell weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Roswell swings 68°F across the year, from 99°F highs in July to 31°F lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 7 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
99°F average high
Coldest month
January
31°F average low
Wettest month
October
7 in a year
Below freezing
1 month
January
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and November
Residents
49,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Roswell and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Roswell hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Roswell 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
92° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
92° 67°
±4°
Sun
Partly cloudy
92° 64°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
91° 68°
±5°
Tue
Rain
84° 67°
±12°
Wed
Showers
77° 65°
±10°
Thu
Light rain
76° 64°
±7°
Fri
Light rain
80° 65°
±14°
Sat
Drizzle
82° 66°
±12°
Sun
Light drizzle
86° 64°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
83° 64°
models agree
Tue
Clear
85° 63°
±11°
Wed
Clear
86° 67°
±18°
Thu
Clear
87° 68°
±15°

Roswell, New Mexico (NM) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 99°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 31°F), with roughly 7 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Roswell right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Roswell climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
31°
Feb
62°
35°
Mar
70°
43°
Apr
78°
49°
May
88°
60°
Jun
98°
71°
Jul
99°
74°
Aug
98°
73°
Sep
90°
64°
Oct
80°
54°
Nov
64°
40°
Dec
59°
35°

Which forecast is most accurate in Roswell?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F89±3.4 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
90
/100rank #2
93±0.7°F95±1.4 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°91° to 93°±29%14% to 43% chance
Tomorrow±4°90° to 94°±27%20% to 47% chance
Sun±4°91° to 94°models agree4% to 4% chance
Mon±5°88° to 93°±7%16% to 23% chance
Tue±12°78° to 90°±7%81% to 88% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Roswell

today, local time
Sunrise
06:43
Sunset
19:00
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Roswell today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Roswell today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Roswell today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Roswell and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Roswell?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Roswell (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the European at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Roswell?
July is typically the warmest month in Roswell, with average highs around 99°F.
How cold does Roswell get?
The coldest month in Roswell is January, when overnight lows average about 31°F.
How much rain does Roswell get?
Roswell sees roughly 7 in of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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