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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Santa Fe weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 69° in Santa Fe today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 73°, with a 26% chance of rain.

69°56°
73°54°
74°53°
73°54°
69°55°
63°55°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±9°Wednesdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
70°
Light rain
Today 70°·Low 57°·Rain 65%
AmericanNOAA GFS
67°
Heavy rain
Today 67°·Low 56°·Rain 65%
EuropeanECMWF
70°
Heavy drizzle
Today 70°·Low 55°·Rain 98%
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Santa Fe weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Santa Fe weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Santa Fe swings 66°F across the year, from 86°F highs in July to 20°F lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 13 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
86°F average high
Coldest month
January
20°F average low
Wettest month
November
13 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
88,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Santa Fe and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Santa Fe hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Santa Fe 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
69° 56°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
73° 54°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
74° 53°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
73° 54°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
69° 55°
±9°
Wed
Light rain
63° 55°
±6°
Thu
Drizzle
66° 54°
±6°
Fri
Drizzle
67° 54°
±14°
Sat
Drizzle
70° 56°
±11°
Sun
Mostly clear
71° 54°
±9°
Mon
Light drizzle
70° 54°
±4°
Tue
Clear
75° 53°
±11°
Wed
Clear
73° 54°
±8°
Thu
Clear
74° 55°
±11°

Santa Fe, New Mexico (NM) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 20°F), with roughly 13 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Santa Fe right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Santa Fe climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
34°
20°
Feb
40°
23°
Mar
47°
29°
Apr
60°
37°
May
69°
47°
Jun
80°
57°
Jul
86°
63°
Aug
83°
62°
Sep
75°
54°
Oct
66°
46°
Nov
48°
32°
Dec
41°
27°

Which forecast is most accurate in Santa Fe?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
74
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F95±1.7 mph4268% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
68
/100rank #2
76±2.4°F85±4.6 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°67° to 70°±33%65% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±4°71° to 75°±7%19% to 26% chance
Sun±3°72° to 75°±2%2% to 4% chance
Mon±2°72° to 74°±2%2% to 4% chance
Tue±9°66° to 75°±12%69% to 81% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Santa Fe

today, local time
Sunrise
06:48
Sunset
19:06
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Santa Fe today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Santa Fe today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Santa Fe today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Santa Fe and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Santa Fe?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Santa Fe (CheckWeather Score 74/100), ahead of the American at 68. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Santa Fe?
July is typically the warmest month in Santa Fe, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Santa Fe get?
The coldest month in Santa Fe is January, when overnight lows average about 20°F.
How much rain does Santa Fe get?
Santa Fe sees roughly 13 in of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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