Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USSierra Vista
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Sierra Vista weather

Loading live data…

Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 88° in Sierra Vista today. Tomorrow looks clear around 88°, with a 2% chance of rain.

88°66°
88°66°
86°63°
86°65°
82°65°
79°64°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
88°
Clear
Today 88°·Low 66°·Rain 3%
AmericanNOAA GFS
88°
Clear
Today 88°·Low 66°·Rain 3%
EuropeanECMWF
87°
Clear
Today 87°·Low 66°·Rain 6%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Sierra Vista weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Sierra Vista…

Sierra Vista weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Sierra Vista swings 62°F across the year, from 96°F highs in July to 34°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 8 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
96°F average high
Coldest month
January
34°F average low
Wettest month
January
8 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and November
Residents
43,000
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Sierra Vista and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Sierra Vista hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Sierra Vista 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
88° 66°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
88° 66°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
86° 63°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
86° 65°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
82° 65°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
79° 64°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
80° 63°
±9°
Fri
Light drizzle
80° 64°
±13°
Sat
Mostly clear
84° 64°
±12°
Sun
Light drizzle
85° 67°
±9°
Mon
Light drizzle
86° 67°
±9°
Tue
Cloudy
88° 70°
±7°
Wed
Mostly clear
85° 69°
±11°
Thu
Clear
84° 66°
±4°

Sierra Vista, Arizona (AZ) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 34°F), with roughly 8 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Sierra Vista right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Sierra Vista climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
57°
34°
Feb
60°
37°
Mar
65°
40°
Apr
77°
48°
May
84°
55°
Jun
93°
65°
Jul
96°
72°
Aug
91°
69°
Sep
91°
66°
Oct
83°
59°
Nov
69°
44°
Dec
64°
41°

Which forecast is most accurate in Sierra Vista?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F94±1.9 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F84±5.1 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°87° to 88°±3%3% to 6% chance
Tomorrow±1°88° to 88°models agree2% to 2% chance
Sunmodels agree86° to 87°±4%0% to 4% chance
Mon±2°85° to 87°±4%2% to 6% chance
Tue±2°81° to 83°±4%48% to 52% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sierra Vista

today, local time
Sunrise
06:07
Sunset
18:22
Daylight
12h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sierra Vista today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Sierra Vista today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sierra Vista today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Sierra Vista and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sierra Vista?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sierra Vista (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sierra Vista?
July is typically the warmest month in Sierra Vista, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Sierra Vista get?
The coldest month in Sierra Vista is January, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does Sierra Vista get?
Sierra Vista sees roughly 8 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather