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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Springfield weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 72° in Springfield today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 76°, with a 0% chance of rain.

72°53°
76°49°
78°50°
75°51°
74°50°
73°48°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 53°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
70°
Fog
Today 70°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
72°
Cloudy
Today 72°·Low 53°·Rain 0%
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Springfield weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Springfield weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Springfield swings 54°F across the year, from 86°F highs in July to 32°F lows in February, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 67 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
86°F average high
Coldest month
February
32°F average low
Wettest month
December
67 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
61,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Springfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Springfield hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Springfield 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
72° 53°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
76° 49°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
78° 50°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
75° 51°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
74° 50°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
73° 48°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
74° 50°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
71° 51°
±9°
Sat
Mostly clear
71° 47°
±10°
Sun
Mostly clear
72° 49°
±19°
Mon
Light drizzle
74° 49°
±17°
Tue
Drizzle
71° 51°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
64° 51°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
67° 45°
models agree

Springfield, Oregon (OR) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 32°F), with roughly 67 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Springfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Springfield climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
49°
35°
Feb
50°
32°
Mar
52°
33°
Apr
56°
38°
May
67°
44°
Jun
75°
49°
Jul
86°
54°
Aug
84°
55°
Sep
74°
50°
Oct
64°
43°
Nov
52°
37°
Dec
49°
36°

Which forecast is most accurate in Springfield?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F98±0.6 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F95±1.6 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°70° to 74°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°75° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±2°77° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°74° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°72° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Springfield

today, local time
Sunrise
06:54
Sunset
19:16
Daylight
12h 22m

Common questions

What's the weather in Springfield today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Springfield today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Springfield today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Springfield and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Springfield?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Springfield (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Springfield?
July is typically the warmest month in Springfield, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Springfield get?
The coldest month in Springfield is February, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does Springfield get?
Springfield sees roughly 67 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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