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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Sugar Land weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 94° in Sugar Land today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 94°, with a 18% chance of rain.

94°76°
94°74°
94°76°
96°77°
97°77°
96°77°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±7°Sundaysplit ±7°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
93°
Light drizzle
Today 93°·Low 77°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
96°
Light drizzle
Today 96°·Low 76°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
92°
Light drizzle
Today 92°·Low 75°·Rain 24%
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Sugar Land weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Sugar Land weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Sugar Land swings 49°F across the year, from 96°F highs in August to 47°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 64 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
96°F average high
Coldest month
January
47°F average low
Wettest month
January
64 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, November and December
Residents
88,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Sugar Land and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Sugar Land hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Sugar Land 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
94° 76°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
94° 74°
±7°
Sun
Partly cloudy
94° 76°
±7°
Mon
Mostly clear
96° 77°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
97° 77°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
96° 77°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
95° 78°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
94° 75°
±7°
Sat
Mostly clear
95° 75°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
95° 74°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
93° 73°
±8°
Tue
Rain
90° 75°
models agree
Wed
Clear
91° 71°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
91° 68°
±5°

Sugar Land, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 47°F), with roughly 64 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Sugar Land right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Sugar Land climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
63°
47°
Feb
70°
52°
Mar
75°
59°
Apr
79°
62°
May
85°
70°
Jun
93°
76°
Jul
93°
77°
Aug
96°
78°
Sep
92°
74°
Oct
84°
66°
Nov
73°
57°
Dec
67°
51°

Which forecast is most accurate in Sugar Land?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F96±1.3 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
61
/100rank #2
70±3.0°F92±2.6 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°92° to 96°±22%2% to 24% chance
Tomorrow±7°91° to 99°±18%0% to 18% chance
Sun±7°90° to 97°±44%13% to 57% chance
Mon±3°95° to 98°±4%11% to 15% chance
Tue±2°96° to 98°±61%6% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sugar Land

today, local time
Sunrise
07:08
Sunset
19:23
Daylight
12h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sugar Land today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Sugar Land today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sugar Land today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Sugar Land and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sugar Land?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sugar Land (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 61. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sugar Land?
August is typically the warmest month in Sugar Land, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Sugar Land get?
The coldest month in Sugar Land is January, when overnight lows average about 47°F.
How much rain does Sugar Land get?
Sugar Land sees roughly 64 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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