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Every US forecast, compared
CheckWeather US›Toledo

Toledo weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Clear
Feels 78° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 36%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Clear
Feels 78° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 28%
EuropeanECMWF
73°
Clear
Feels 73° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 41%

Latest for Toledo: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 77° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 78° Clear · European (ECMWF): 73° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Toledo and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Toledo, OH is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 25°F), with roughly 36 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Toledo right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Toledo climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
37°
25°
Feb
45°
27°
Mar
49°
32°
Apr
61°
42°
May
72°
52°
Jun
81°
62°
Jul
84°
65°
Aug
81°
63°
Sep
76°
59°
Oct
65°
48°
Nov
52°
38°
Dec
43°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Toledo today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Toledo today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Toledo today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Toledo and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Toledo?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Toledo forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Toledo?
Jul is typically the warmest month in Toledo, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Toledo get?
The coldest month in Toledo is Jan, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Toledo get?
Toledo sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with Apr usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

NWSNational Weather Service
Open model · shown above ✓AWAccuWeather
Closed model · open ↗↗TWCThe Weather Channel
Closed model · open ↗↗

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