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Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 10°F

Urbandale weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Urbandale's high today between 74° and 84°, a 10° split. Tomorrow looks rain around 82°, with a 63% chance of rain.

79°65°
82°67°
66°61°
62°57°
61°52°
65°48°
Todaysplit ±10°Tomorrowsplit ±6°Sundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Drizzle
Today 80°·Low 66°·Rain 18%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Fog
Today 74°·Low 65°·Rain 18%
EuropeanECMWF
84°
Thunderstorm
Today 84°·Low 64°·Rain 94%
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Urbandale weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Urbandale weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Urbandale swings 67°F across the year, from 83°F highs in June to 16°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 32 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
June
83°F average high
Coldest month
January
16°F average low
Wettest month
July
32 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
3 months
April, May and October
Residents
44,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Urbandale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Urbandale hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Urbandale 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
79° 65°
±10°
Tomorrow
Rain
82° 67°
±6°
Sun
Rain
66° 61°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
62° 57°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
61° 52°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
65° 48°
±5°
Thu
Partly cloudy
67° 53°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
64° 56°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
69° 58°
±10°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
65° 59°
±6°
Mon
Light rain
63° 54°
±8°
Tue
Mostly clear
64° 48°
±6°
Wed
Partly cloudy
66° 46°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
75° 51°
models agree

Urbandale, Iowa (IA) is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 16°F), with roughly 32 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Urbandale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Urbandale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
16°
Feb
45°
23°
Mar
49°
30°
Apr
63°
42°
May
75°
53°
Jun
83°
64°
Jul
83°
66°
Aug
83°
66°
Sep
80°
60°
Oct
67°
49°
Nov
51°
35°
Dec
40°
27°

Which forecast is most accurate in Urbandale?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F97±1.1 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F95±1.7 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±10°74° to 84°±76%18% to 94% chance
Tomorrow±6°78° to 84°±24%39% to 63% chance
Sun±4°64° to 68°±8%45% to 53% chance
Mon±1°61° to 62°±3%49% to 52% chance
Tue±5°58° to 63°±3%16% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Urbandale

today, local time
Sunrise
06:58
Sunset
19:18
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Urbandale today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Urbandale today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Urbandale today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Urbandale and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Urbandale?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Urbandale (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Urbandale?
June is typically the warmest month in Urbandale, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Urbandale get?
The coldest month in Urbandale is January, when overnight lows average about 16°F.
How much rain does Urbandale get?
Urbandale sees roughly 32 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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