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Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 8°F

Vancouver weather

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Cloudy,warmer tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Vancouver's high today between 65° and 74°, a 8° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 76°, with a 0% chance of rain.

70°55°
76°53°
79°54°
75°54°
73°54°
73°51°
Todaysplit ±8°Tomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
74°
Partly cloudy
Today 74°·Low 56°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
65°
Cloudy
Today 65°·Low 53°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
71°
Cloudy
Today 71°·Low 55°·Rain 2%
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Vancouver weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Vancouver weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Vancouver swings 50°F across the year, from 85°F highs in July to 35°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 57 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
85°F average high
Coldest month
January
35°F average low
Wettest month
December
57 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
196,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Vancouver and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Vancouver hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Vancouver 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
70° 55°
±8°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
76° 53°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
79° 54°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
75° 54°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
73° 54°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
73° 51°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
71° 55°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
70° 54°
±8°
Sat
Partly cloudy
72° 49°
±9°
Sun
Mostly clear
72° 51°
±16°
Mon
Cloudy
70° 52°
±12°
Tue
Cloudy
70° 53°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
66° 52°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
67° 47°
±5°

Vancouver, Washington (WA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 35°F), with roughly 57 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Vancouver right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Vancouver climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
45°
35°
Feb
48°
35°
Mar
52°
37°
Apr
57°
41°
May
68°
48°
Jun
74°
53°
Jul
85°
59°
Aug
84°
60°
Sep
75°
55°
Oct
64°
48°
Nov
51°
41°
Dec
49°
39°

Which forecast is most accurate in Vancouver?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F95±1.5 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
87
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F95±1.5 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±8°65° to 74°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±2°76° to 77°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±3°78° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°75° to 76°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°72° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Vancouver

today, local time
Sunrise
06:52
Sunset
19:15
Daylight
12h 23m

Common questions

What's the weather in Vancouver today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Vancouver today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Vancouver today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Vancouver and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Vancouver?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Vancouver (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the European at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Vancouver?
July is typically the warmest month in Vancouver, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Vancouver get?
The coldest month in Vancouver is January, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Vancouver get?
Vancouver sees roughly 57 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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