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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Visalia weather

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Clear,warmer tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 84° in Visalia today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 90°, with a 0% chance of rain.

84°58°
90°60°
94°63°
91°64°
93°62°
99°65°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±7°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
84°
Clear
Today 84°·Low 58°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Clear
Today 83°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
85°
Clear
Today 85°·Low 60°·Rain 0%
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Visalia weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Visalia…

Visalia weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Visalia swings 68°F across the year, from 108°F highs in July to 40°F lows in January, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 27 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
108°F average high
Coldest month
January
40°F average low
Wettest month
March
27 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, April, November and December
Residents
130,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Visalia and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Visalia hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Visalia 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
84° 58°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
90° 60°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
94° 63°
±7°
Mon
Cloudy
91° 64°
±7°
Tue
Clear
93° 62°
±5°
Wed
Mostly clear
99° 65°
±8°
Thu
Mostly clear
101° 68°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
98° 67°
±4°
Sat
Mostly clear
93° 65°
±13°
Sun
Mostly clear
93° 64°
±13°
Mon
Mostly clear
93° 65°
±14°
Tue
Mostly clear
97° 67°
±7°
Wed
Clear
93° 67°
±15°
Thu
Clear
88° 61°
±20°

Visalia, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 108°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 40°F), with roughly 27 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Visalia right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Visalia climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
58°
40°
Feb
60°
40°
Mar
63°
44°
Apr
74°
49°
May
85°
57°
Jun
94°
65°
Jul
108°
74°
Aug
102°
70°
Sep
94°
64°
Oct
85°
56°
Nov
67°
44°
Dec
61°
43°

Which forecast is most accurate in Visalia?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F93±2.3 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
89
/100rank #2
75±2.5°F95±1.5 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°83° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°89° to 92°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±7°89° to 97°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±7°88° to 94°models agree2% to 2% chance
Tue±5°90° to 95°±1%0% to 1% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Visalia

today, local time
Sunrise
06:42
Sunset
18:59
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Visalia today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Visalia today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Visalia today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Visalia and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Visalia?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Visalia (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Visalia?
July is typically the warmest month in Visalia, with average highs around 108°F.
How cold does Visalia get?
The coldest month in Visalia is January, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Visalia get?
Visalia sees roughly 27 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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