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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Waltham weather

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Light drizzle,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 78° in Waltham today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 65°, with a 1% chance of rain.

78°60°
65°51°
62°49°
66°54°
60°51°
62°51°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Light drizzle
Today 78°·Low 61°·Rain 19%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 59°·Rain 19%
EuropeanECMWF
77°
Light drizzle
Today 77°·Low 61°·Rain 61%
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Waltham weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Waltham weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Waltham swings 60°F across the year, from 84°F highs in July to 24°F lows in February, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 53 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
84°F average high
Coldest month
February
24°F average low
Wettest month
March
53 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
63,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Waltham and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Waltham hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Waltham 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
78° 60°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
65° 51°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
62° 49°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
66° 54°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
60° 51°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
62° 51°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
61° 50°
±6°
Fri
Rain
60° 50°
±9°
Sat
Drizzle
63° 53°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
66° 52°
±12°
Mon
Light drizzle
69° 54°
±12°
Tue
Light drizzle
69° 55°
±12°
Wed
Showers
69° 57°
±12°
Thu
Light drizzle
69° 55°
models agree

Waltham, Massachusetts (MA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 24°F), with roughly 53 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Waltham right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Waltham climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
40°
27°
Feb
43°
24°
Mar
48°
31°
Apr
59°
40°
May
69°
49°
Jun
78°
58°
Jul
84°
67°
Aug
79°
62°
Sep
73°
57°
Oct
65°
47°
Nov
51°
35°
Dec
43°
29°

Which forecast is most accurate in Waltham?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±0.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
70
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F94±1.7 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°77° to 78°±42%19% to 61% chance
Tomorrow±1°64° to 65°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±1°61° to 62°±18%82% to 100% chance
Mon±3°65° to 67°±9%70% to 79% chance
Tuemodels agree60° to 60°±1%2% to 3% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Waltham

today, local time
Sunrise
06:28
Sunset
18:49
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Waltham today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Waltham today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Waltham today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Waltham and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Waltham?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Waltham (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 70. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Waltham?
July is typically the warmest month in Waltham, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Waltham get?
The coldest month in Waltham is February, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Waltham get?
Waltham sees roughly 53 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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