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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Watsonville weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Watsonville's high today between 70° and 75°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks fog around 70°, with a 0% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

72°51°
70°56°
70°55°
68°54°
72°56°
84°56°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowsplit ±9°Sundaysplit ±8°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
70°
Partly cloudy
Today 70°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
71°
Cloudy
Today 71°·Low 48°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
75°
Cloudy
Today 75°·Low 52°·Rain 0%
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Watsonville weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Watsonville weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Watsonville swings 30°F across the year, from 72°F highs in October to 42°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 34 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
October
72°F average high
Coldest month
February
42°F average low
Wettest month
January
34 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
54,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Watsonville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Watsonville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Watsonville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
72° 51°
±6°
Tomorrow
Fog
70° 56°
±9°
Sun
Cloudy
70° 55°
±8°
Mon
Cloudy
68° 54°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
72° 56°
±5°
Wed
Partly cloudy
84° 56°
±9°
Thu
Mostly clear
81° 60°
±18°
Fri
Cloudy
74° 58°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
74° 58°
±8°
Sun
Cloudy
75° 56°
±11°
Mon
Partly cloudy
78° 55°
±18°
Tue
Drizzle
79° 56°
±11°
Wed
Cloudy
78° 55°
±10°
Thu
Clear
74° 54°
±7°

Watsonville, California (CA) is at its warmest in Oct (average highs near 72°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 42°F), with roughly 34 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Watsonville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Watsonville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
58°
44°
Feb
58°
42°
Mar
58°
44°
Apr
60°
45°
May
61°
49°
Jun
64°
51°
Jul
67°
54°
Aug
69°
55°
Sep
69°
55°
Oct
72°
53°
Nov
65°
45°
Dec
63°
45°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F96±1.2 mph8491% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F93±2.3 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°70° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±9°67° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±8°67° to 74°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±4°67° to 71°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±5°69° to 74°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Watsonville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:09
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Watsonville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Watsonville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Watsonville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Watsonville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Watsonville?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Watsonville forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Watsonville?
October is typically the warmest month in Watsonville, with average highs around 72°F.
How cold does Watsonville get?
The coldest month in Watsonville is February, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Watsonville get?
Watsonville sees roughly 34 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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