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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

West Orange weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in West Orange today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 70°, with a 2% chance of rain.

81°68°
70°58°
68°60°
67°57°
60°53°
61°50°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±8°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Cloudy
Today 80°·Low 68°·Rain 9%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 66°·Rain 9%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 69°·Rain 49%
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West Orange weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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West Orange weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

West Orange swings 58°F across the year, from 86°F highs in July to 28°F lows in February, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 54 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
86°F average high
Coldest month
February
28°F average low
Wettest month
March
54 in a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and December
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
48,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around West Orange and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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West Orange hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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West Orange 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
81° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
70° 58°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
68° 60°
±8°
Mon
Cloudy
67° 57°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
60° 53°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
61° 50°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
60° 52°
±6°
Fri
Drizzle
66° 52°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
68° 54°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
71° 55°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
71° 56°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
75° 58°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
78° 60°
±5°
Thu
Light rain
68° 53°
±7°

West Orange, New Jersey (NJ) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 28°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for West Orange right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

West Orange climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
30°
Feb
46°
28°
Mar
51°
34°
Apr
63°
43°
May
72°
51°
Jun
82°
61°
Jul
86°
68°
Aug
82°
65°
Sep
76°
59°
Oct
68°
50°
Nov
54°
38°
Dec
44°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in West Orange?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F98±0.5 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F91±2.9 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°80° to 81°±40%9% to 49% chance
Tomorrow±1°70° to 71°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±8°64° to 72°±6%85% to 91% chance
Mon±3°65° to 68°±3%69% to 72% chance
Tue±5°57° to 62°±16%10% to 26% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in West Orange

today, local time
Sunrise
06:40
Sunset
19:00
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in West Orange today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for West Orange today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in West Orange today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for West Orange and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for West Orange?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for West Orange (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in West Orange?
July is typically the warmest month in West Orange, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does West Orange get?
The coldest month in West Orange is February, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does West Orange get?
West Orange sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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