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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

West Raleigh weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 92° in West Raleigh today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 83°, with a 59% chance of rain.

92°73°
83°72°
87°69°
88°72°
80°68°
69°63°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±8°Sundaysplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±14°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
92°
Rain
Today 92°·Low 73°·Rain 40%
AmericanNOAA GFS
93°
Cloudy
Today 93°·Low 74°·Rain 40%
EuropeanECMWF
92°
Heavy drizzle
Today 92°·Low 72°·Rain 81%
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West Raleigh weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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West Raleigh weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

West Raleigh swings 52°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 38°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 46 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
90°F average high
Coldest month
January
38°F average low
Wettest month
September
46 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and October
Residents
339,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around West Raleigh and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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West Raleigh hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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West Raleigh 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
92° 73°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
83° 72°
±8°
Sun
Mostly clear
87° 69°
±5°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
88° 72°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
80° 68°
±14°
Wed
Drizzle
69° 63°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
75° 63°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
73° 62°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
73° 59°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
76° 58°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
76° 59°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
77° 62°
±8°
Wed
Light drizzle
83° 66°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
74° 62°
±6°

West Raleigh, North Carolina (NC) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 38°F), with roughly 46 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for West Raleigh right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

West Raleigh climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
55°
38°
Feb
59°
41°
Mar
65°
44°
Apr
73°
52°
May
78°
59°
Jun
86°
66°
Jul
90°
72°
Aug
87°
69°
Sep
81°
64°
Oct
72°
53°
Nov
63°
45°
Dec
55°
38°

Which forecast is most accurate in West Raleigh?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F98±0.5 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
63
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F95±1.5 mph1855% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°92° to 93°±41%40% to 81% chance
Tomorrow±8°80° to 88°±48%11% to 59% chance
Sun±5°85° to 91°±4%4% to 8% chance
Mon±4°87° to 91°±5%60% to 65% chance
Tue±14°75° to 88°models agree65% to 65% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in West Raleigh

today, local time
Sunrise
06:59
Sunset
19:17
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in West Raleigh today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for West Raleigh today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in West Raleigh today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for West Raleigh and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for West Raleigh?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for West Raleigh (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 63. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in West Raleigh?
July is typically the warmest month in West Raleigh, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does West Raleigh get?
The coldest month in West Raleigh is January, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does West Raleigh get?
West Raleigh sees roughly 46 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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