CheckWeather US›Wilmington
Wilmington weather
Loading live data…The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Wilmington and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Loading the three model maps…
Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models7-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitWilmington, NC is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 42°F), with roughly 59 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Wilmington right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
Wilmington climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical yearJan
59°
42°
Feb
62°
45°
Mar
67°
49°
Apr
73°
56°
May
78°
63°
Jun
84°
69°
Jul
87°
74°
Aug
86°
72°
Sep
81°
67°
Oct
74°
56°
Nov
66°
50°
Dec
59°
42°
Which forecast is most accurate in the US?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.
Common questions
What's the weather in Wilmington today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Wilmington today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wilmington today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Wilmington and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wilmington?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Wilmington forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Wilmington?
July is typically the warmest month in Wilmington, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Wilmington get?
The coldest month in Wilmington is January, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Wilmington get?
Wilmington sees roughly 59 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.
The forecasts Americans check
The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.