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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Kilsyth weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Kilsyth today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 25°, with a 15% chance of rain.

24°12°
25°12°
15°
17°
22°
25°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 14°·Rain 37%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Cloudy
Today 25°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
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Kilsyth weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Kilsyth swings 21°C across the year, from 26°C highs in January to 5°C lows in June, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 909 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
26°C average high
Coldest month
June
5°C average low
Wettest month
January
909 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and September
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Kilsyth and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kilsyth hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kilsyth 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
24° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
25° 12°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
17°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
22°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
25°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
27° 15°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
27° 14°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
27° 11°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
26° 15°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
20° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
19°
±10°
Fri
Cloudy
22° 11°
±8°

Kilsyth, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 5°C), with roughly 909 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Kilsyth right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Kilsyth climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
14°
Feb
26°
13°
Mar
24°
12°
Apr
18°
May
15°
Jun
13°
Jul
12°
Aug
15°
Sep
17°
Oct
19°
Nov
23°
11°
Dec
24°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in Kilsyth?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±1.1 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
77±1.3°C91±4.3 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
74
/100rank #3
85±0.9°C96±2.1 km/t4771% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1495 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°23° to 25°±37%0% to 37% chance
Tomorrow±3°24° to 27°±15%0% to 15% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±19%48% to 67% chance
Tue±2°16° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°21° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kilsyth

today, local time
Sunrise
06:13
Sunset
18:12
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kilsyth today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Kilsyth today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Kilsyth today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Kilsyth and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kilsyth?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kilsyth (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kilsyth?
January is typically the warmest month in Kilsyth, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Kilsyth get?
The coldest month in Kilsyth is June, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Kilsyth get?
Kilsyth sees roughly 909 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather