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CheckWeather CACap-aux-Meules
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Cap-aux-Meules weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 12° in Cap-aux-Meules today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 12°, with a 24% chance of rain.

12°10°
12°
13°12°
12°11°
13°12°
14°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
12°
Light drizzle
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 14%
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Light drizzle
Today 13°·Low 11°·Rain 92%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Cloudy
Today 11°·Low ·Rain 43%
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Cap-aux-Meules weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Cap-aux-Meules swings 26°C across the year, from 20°C highs in August to -6°C lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1114 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
20°C average high
Coldest month
February
-6°C average low
Wettest month
January
1114 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
3 months
July, August and September
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Cap-aux-Meules and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Cap-aux-Meules hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Cap-aux-Meules 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
12° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
13° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
12° 11°
models agree
Wed
Clear
13° 12°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
14° 13°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
14° 13°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
13° 12°
models agree
Sun
Clear
14° 12°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
14° 14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15° 13°
models agree
Thu
Rain
15° 13°
models agree
Fri
Rain
15° 13°
models agree

Cap-aux-Meules, Quebec is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -6°C), with roughly 1114 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Cap-aux-Meules right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Cap-aux-Meules climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
Feb
-2°
-6°
Mar
-2°
Apr
May
Jun
12°
10°
Jul
19°
17°
Aug
20°
18°
Sep
17°
15°
Oct
13°
10°
Nov
Dec
-1°

Which forecast is most accurate in Cap-aux-Meules?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C97±1.5 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
75
/100rank #2
76±1.3°C89±5.6 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
60
/100rank #3
57±2.4°C85±7.6 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°11° to 13°±78%14% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±1°12° to 13°±17%7% to 24% chance
Mon±1°13° to 13°±39%49% to 88% chance
Tue±1°12° to 13°±11%5% to 16% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±3%0% to 3% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cap-aux-Meules

today, local time
Sunrise
06:50
Sunset
19:11
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cap-aux-Meules today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Cap-aux-Meules today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cap-aux-Meules today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Cap-aux-Meules and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cap-aux-Meules?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cap-aux-Meules (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cap-aux-Meules?
August is typically the warmest month in Cap-aux-Meules, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Cap-aux-Meules get?
The coldest month in Cap-aux-Meules is February, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does Cap-aux-Meules get?
Cap-aux-Meules sees roughly 1114 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather