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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Stratford weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Stratford today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 60% chance of rain.

13°
13°
14°
13°
15°
16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
13°
Cloudy
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Mostly clear
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 8%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Cloudy
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 3%
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Stratford weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Stratford swings 35°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -10°C lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1217 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
-10°C average low
Wettest month
January
1217 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Stratford and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Stratford hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Stratford 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13°
±2°
Mon
Rain
14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
13°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
15°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
16° 11°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
16°
±5°
Sun
Mostly clear
16° 10°
±5°
Mon
Showers
17° 13°
±3°
Tue
Light rain
19° 12°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
18° 13°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
20° 12°
±2°
Fri
Drizzle
17° 12°
models agree

Stratford, Prince Edward Island is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -10°C), with roughly 1217 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Stratford right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Stratford climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-6°
Feb
-2°
-10°
Mar
-4°
Apr
May
14°
Jun
19°
12°
Jul
25°
18°
Aug
23°
16°
Sep
20°
14°
Oct
14°
Nov
Dec
-3°

Which forecast is most accurate in Stratford?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.5 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C94±3.1 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
74
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C94±3.1 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°12° to 13°±8%0% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±2°12° to 14°±44%16% to 60% chance
Mon±2°13° to 15°±21%57% to 78% chance
Tue±2°12° to 14°±14%1% to 15% chance
Wed±2°14° to 16°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Stratford

today, local time
Sunrise
06:55
Sunset
19:15
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Stratford today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Stratford today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Stratford today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Stratford and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Stratford?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Stratford (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Stratford?
July is typically the warmest month in Stratford, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Stratford get?
The coldest month in Stratford is February, when overnight lows average about -10°C.
How much rain does Stratford get?
Stratford sees roughly 1217 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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