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CheckWeather CACharlottetown
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Charlottetown weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Charlottetown today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 72% chance of rain.

13°
13°
14°
13°
15°
16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
14°
Cloudy
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Partly cloudy
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Cloudy
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 3%
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Charlottetown weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Charlottetown swings 34°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -9°C lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1234 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 22 days a year at 25°C or above, 135 frost nights, and rain on 144 days.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
-9°C average low
Wettest month
January
1234 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
39,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
22 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
135 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
144 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Charlottetown’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Charlottetown and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Charlottetown hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Charlottetown 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
13°
±2°
Wed
Clear
15°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
16°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
16° 11°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
16°
±4°
Sun
Mostly clear
17° 10°
±4°
Mon
Showers
17° 12°
±3°
Tue
Light rain
18° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 13°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
17° 12°
models agree

Charlottetown, Prince Edward Island is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -9°C), with roughly 1234 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Charlottetown right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Charlottetown climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-6°
Feb
-2°
-9°
Mar
-4°
Apr
May
14°
Jun
19°
12°
Jul
25°
18°
Aug
23°
16°
Sep
20°
14°
Oct
14°
Nov
Dec
-3°

Which forecast is most accurate in Charlottetown?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C96±1.9 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C94±3.2 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
71
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C93±3.6 km/t4771% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°12° to 14°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tomorrow±2°12° to 14°±56%16% to 72% chance
Mon±1°13° to 15°±27%57% to 84% chance
Tue±2°12° to 14°±13%1% to 14% chance
Wed±2°14° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Charlottetown

today, local time
Sunrise
06:55
Sunset
19:16
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Charlottetown today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Charlottetown today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Charlottetown today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Charlottetown and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Charlottetown?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Charlottetown (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Charlottetown?
July is typically the warmest month in Charlottetown, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Charlottetown get?
The coldest month in Charlottetown is February, when overnight lows average about -9°C.
How much rain does Charlottetown get?
Charlottetown sees roughly 1234 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather