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CheckWeather CASummerside
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Summerside weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Summerside today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 67% chance of rain.

13°
13°
14°10°
13°
15°
16°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
14°
Cloudy
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Partly cloudy
Today 14°·Low 10°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Cloudy
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Summerside weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Summerside swings 35°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -10°C lows in February, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1213 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 28 days a year at 25°C or above, 137 frost nights, and rain on 143 days.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
-10°C average low
Wettest month
June
1213 mm a year
Comfortable
3 months
July, August and September
Residents
15,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
93/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
28 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
137 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
143 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Summerside’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Summerside and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Summerside hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Summerside 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
14° 10°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
13°
±2°
Wed
Clear
15°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
16° 10°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 11°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
15° 10°
±4°
Sun
Clear
16° 11°
±3°
Mon
Rain
17° 13°
models agree
Tue
Rain
18° 13°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
18° 13°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
20° 13°
±3°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
16° 12°
models agree

Summerside, Prince Edward Island is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -10°C), with roughly 1213 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Summerside right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Summerside climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-7°
Feb
-2°
-10°
Mar
-4°
Apr
May
14°
Jun
20°
12°
Jul
25°
18°
Aug
23°
16°
Sep
20°
13°
Oct
14°
Nov
Dec
-4°

Which forecast is most accurate in Summerside?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.7 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C94±3.0 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C91±4.6 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°12° to 14°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°±46%21% to 67% chance
Mon±1°14° to 15°±43%33% to 76% chance
Tue±2°11° to 14°±14%0% to 14% chance
Wed±2°14° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Summerside

today, local time
Sunrise
06:58
Sunset
19:18
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Summerside today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Summerside today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Summerside today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Summerside and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Summerside?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Summerside (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Summerside?
July is typically the warmest month in Summerside, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Summerside get?
The coldest month in Summerside is February, when overnight lows average about -10°C.
How much rain does Summerside get?
Summerside sees roughly 1213 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather