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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Bluewater weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in Bluewater today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 20°, with a 73% chance of rain.

18°11°
20°13°
17°
18°
17°11°
16°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 10%
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 13°·Rain 60%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low 11°·Rain 20%
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Bluewater weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bluewater swings 29°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -4°C lows in January, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1148 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
January
-4°C average low
Wettest month
April
1148 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
7,044
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Bluewater and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bluewater hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bluewater 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
17°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
17° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
16° 11°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
19°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
21°
±3°
Sun
Partly cloudy
21°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
21° 10°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
17° 12°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
15° 10°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
16°
±8°

Bluewater, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -4°C), with roughly 1148 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Bluewater right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Bluewater climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
Feb
-4°
Mar
-2°
Apr
13°
May
19°
Jun
23°
14°
Jul
25°
17°
Aug
23°
16°
Sep
23°
14°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-1°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bluewater?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
EC
Env. Canada ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
84±0.9°C95±2.4 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
European logo
European
86
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C94±2.8 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C94±3.1 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°18° to 19°±50%10% to 60% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 21°±35%38% to 73% chance
Mon±3°16° to 19°±5%0% to 5% chance
Tue±2°17° to 19°±2%6% to 8% chance
Wed±1°17° to 18°±9%15% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bluewater

today, local time
Sunrise
07:10
Sunset
19:29
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bluewater today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Bluewater today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bluewater today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Bluewater and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bluewater?
Over the last 30 days, the Env. Canada model has been the most accurate for Bluewater (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the European at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bluewater?
July is typically the warmest month in Bluewater, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Bluewater get?
The coldest month in Bluewater is January, when overnight lows average about -4°C.
How much rain does Bluewater get?
Bluewater sees roughly 1148 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather