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CheckWeather CAMill Bay
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Mill Bay weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Mill Bay's high today between 19° and 22°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 20°, with a 0% chance of rain.

20°10°
20°10°
21°11°
21°12°
19°11°
20°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Sundaysplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
19°
Clear
Today 19°·Low 10°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Cloudy
Today 20°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 10°·Rain 0%
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Mill Bay weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mill Bay swings 26°C across the year, from 28°C highs in July to 2°C lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1228 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
28°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
January
1228 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
3 months
May, June and September
Residents
7,200
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Mill Bay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mill Bay hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mill Bay 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
20° 10°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 10°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
21° 11°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
21° 12°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
19° 11°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
19°
±4°
Sun
Partly cloudy
19°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 11°
±8°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
18° 11°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
18° 10°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
16°
±4°

Mill Bay, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1228 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Mill Bay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Mill Bay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
10°
Apr
13°
May
20°
10°
Jun
22°
12°
Jul
28°
15°
Aug
27°
15°
Sep
22°
12°
Oct
15°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Mill Bay?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
75±1.4°C96±1.9 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C93±3.7 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
74
/100rank #3
62±2.1°C96±2.1 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1304 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°19° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°18° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±4°19° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°19° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°17° to 21°±5%0% to 5% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mill Bay

today, local time
Sunrise
06:55
Sunset
19:20
Daylight
12h 25m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mill Bay today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Mill Bay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mill Bay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Mill Bay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mill Bay?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mill Bay (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mill Bay?
July is typically the warmest month in Mill Bay, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Mill Bay get?
The coldest month in Mill Bay is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Mill Bay get?
Mill Bay sees roughly 1228 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather