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CheckWeather NZAlexandra
Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 5°C

Alexandra weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Alexandra's high today between 14° and 18°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks snow around 12°, with a 99% chance of rain.

15°
12°
17°
12°
10°
14°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Drizzle
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Showers
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Light rain
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 75%
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Alexandra weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Alexandra swings 22°C across the year, from 24°C highs in January to 2°C lows in July, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 942 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
24°C average high
Coldest month
July
2°C average low
Wettest month
September
942 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
5,830
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Alexandra and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Alexandra hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Alexandra 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
15°
±5°
Tomorrow
Snow
12°
±3°
Mon
Snow
17°
±3°
Tue
Light snow
12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
14°
±3°
Sat
Light rain
17°
models agree
Sun
Snow
models agree
Mon
Snow
11°
±4°
Tue
Light rain
15°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
18° 10°
±5°
Thu
Partly cloudy
17°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
15°
models agree

Alexandra, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 2°C), with roughly 942 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Alexandra right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Alexandra climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
24°
13°
Feb
23°
12°
Mar
19°
Apr
16°
May
12°
Jun
Jul
Aug
10°
Sep
14°
Oct
16°
Nov
19°
Dec
23°
12°

Which forecast is most accurate in Alexandra?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
77
/100rank #1
83±0.9°C95±2.7 km/t5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
75
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C86±6.8 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
71
/100rank #3
62±2.1°C85±7.7 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°14° to 18°±25%75% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°11° to 13°±81%18% to 99% chance
Mon±3°15° to 18°±10%90% to 100% chance
Tue±2°11° to 13°±24%76% to 100% chance
Wed±1°10° to 11°±32%23% to 55% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Alexandra

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
18:35
Daylight
11h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Alexandra today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Alexandra today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Alexandra today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Alexandra and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Alexandra?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Alexandra (CheckWeather Score 77/100), ahead of the German at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Alexandra?
January is typically the warmest month in Alexandra, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Alexandra get?
The coldest month in Alexandra is July, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Alexandra get?
Alexandra sees roughly 942 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

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