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CheckWeather NZQueenstown
Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 8°C

Queenstown (Qtown) weather

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Light snow,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Queenstown's high today between and 15°, a 8° split. Tomorrow looks light snow around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain.

12°
10°
14°
12°
Todaysplit ±8°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Light snow
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
Showers
Today ·Low ·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
15°
Snow showers
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 100%
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Queenstown weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Queenstown swings 20°C across the year, from 22°C highs in January to 2°C lows in July, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1585 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
22°C average high
Coldest month
July
2°C average low
Wettest month
September
1585 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and November
Residents
10,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Queenstown and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Queenstown hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Queenstown 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light snow
12°
±8°
Tomorrow
Light snow
10°
±3°
Mon
Rain
14°
±5°
Tue
Light snow
±3°
Wed
Light snow
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Sat
Rain
12°
±4°
Sun
Heavy snow
±3°
Mon
Snow
10°
±7°
Tue
Light rain
11°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
12°
±4°
Thu
Partly cloudy
15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
16°
models agree

Queenstown, New Zealand (often shortened to Qtown) is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1585 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Queenstown right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Queenstown climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
22°
13°
Feb
20°
12°
Mar
17°
Apr
15°
May
11°
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
11°
Oct
14°
Nov
17°
Dec
21°
11°

Which forecast is most accurate in Queenstown?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±1.1 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
81
/100rank #2
73±1.5°C81±9.6 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
54±2.5°C95±2.7 km/t9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±8°8° to 15°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°8° to 11°±70%30% to 100% chance
Mon±5°12° to 17°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tue±3°7° to 11°±3%97% to 100% chance
Wed±1°8° to 10°±47%5% to 52% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Queenstown

today, local time
Sunrise
06:40
Sunset
18:37
Daylight
11h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Queenstown today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Queenstown today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Queenstown today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Queenstown and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Queenstown?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Queenstown (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the German at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Queenstown?
January is typically the warmest month in Queenstown, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Queenstown get?
The coldest month in Queenstown is July, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Queenstown get?
Queenstown sees roughly 1585 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

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