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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Atascocita weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Atascocita's high today between 90° and 94°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 93°, with a 2% chance of rain.

92°75°
93°74°
93°75°
94°77°
96°78°
94°77°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Sundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
91°
Mostly clear
Today 91°·Low 76°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
94°
Cloudy
Today 94°·Low 76°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Cloudy
Today 90°·Low 74°·Rain 4%
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Atascocita weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Atascocita weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Atascocita swings 50°F across the year, from 96°F highs in August to 46°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 76 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
96°F average high
Coldest month
January
46°F average low
Wettest month
May
76 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
66,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Atascocita and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Atascocita hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Atascocita 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
92° 75°
±4°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
93° 74°
±5°
Sun
Showers
93° 75°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
94° 77°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
96° 78°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
94° 77°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
92° 76°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
91° 73°
±8°
Sat
Mostly clear
92° 74°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
92° 73°
±9°
Mon
Light drizzle
91° 75°
±8°
Tue
Rain
85° 73°
models agree
Wed
Clear
87° 67°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
87° 64°
±8°

Atascocita, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 46°F), with roughly 76 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Atascocita right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Atascocita climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
46°
Feb
68°
52°
Mar
73°
58°
Apr
77°
62°
May
84°
70°
Jun
91°
76°
Jul
91°
77°
Aug
96°
79°
Sep
90°
74°
Oct
82°
65°
Nov
72°
57°
Dec
66°
50°

Which forecast is most accurate in Atascocita?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
82±1.8°F96±1.2 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
57
/100rank #2
54±4.6°F92±2.4 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°90° to 94°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±5°91° to 96°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±4°91° to 95°±20%11% to 31% chance
Mon±3°93° to 96°±1%11% to 12% chance
Tue±3°94° to 97°±44%3% to 47% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Atascocita

today, local time
Sunrise
07:06
Sunset
19:22
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Atascocita today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Atascocita today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Atascocita today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Atascocita and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Atascocita?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Atascocita (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 57. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Atascocita?
August is typically the warmest month in Atascocita, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Atascocita get?
The coldest month in Atascocita is January, when overnight lows average about 46°F.
How much rain does Atascocita get?
Atascocita sees roughly 76 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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