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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Spring weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 93° in Spring today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 94°, with a 4% chance of rain.

93°74°
94°73°
95°75°
97°79°
97°79°
96°79°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Sundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
93°
Partly cloudy
Today 93°·Low 76°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
95°
Partly cloudy
Today 95°·Low 73°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
91°
Light drizzle
Today 91°·Low 75°·Rain 16%
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Spring weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Spring…

Spring weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Spring swings 52°F across the year, from 97°F highs in August to 45°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 65 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
97°F average high
Coldest month
January
45°F average low
Wettest month
May
65 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
54,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Spring and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Spring hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Spring 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
93° 74°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
94° 73°
±5°
Sun
Partly cloudy
95° 75°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
97° 79°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
97° 79°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
96° 79°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
94° 78°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
93° 75°
±7°
Sat
Mostly clear
94° 76°
±9°
Sun
Light drizzle
95° 76°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
91° 76°
±8°
Tue
Rain
87° 75°
models agree
Wed
Clear
88° 71°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
89° 67°
±7°

Spring, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 97°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 45°F), with roughly 65 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Spring right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Spring climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
45°
Feb
69°
51°
Mar
74°
57°
Apr
78°
61°
May
84°
69°
Jun
93°
75°
Jul
93°
76°
Aug
97°
78°
Sep
92°
74°
Oct
84°
65°
Nov
72°
56°
Dec
66°
50°

Which forecast is most accurate in Spring?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F96±1.2 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
69
/100rank #2
69±3.1°F91±2.8 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°91° to 95°±16%0% to 16% chance
Tomorrow±5°93° to 97°±4%0% to 4% chance
Sun±4°94° to 98°±23%8% to 31% chance
Mon±3°95° to 98°±10%6% to 16% chance
Tue±2°96° to 98°±52%5% to 57% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Spring

today, local time
Sunrise
07:07
Sunset
19:23
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Spring today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Spring today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Spring today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Spring and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Spring?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Spring (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 69. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Spring?
August is typically the warmest month in Spring, with average highs around 97°F.
How cold does Spring get?
The coldest month in Spring is January, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does Spring get?
Spring sees roughly 65 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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