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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Bend weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 72° in Bend today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 76°, with a 0% chance of rain.

72°47°
76°46°
79°49°
80°54°
77°52°
75°48°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
72°
Partly cloudy
Today 72°·Low 46°·Rain 3%
AmericanNOAA GFS
73°
Clear
Today 73°·Low 48°·Rain 3%
EuropeanECMWF
70°
Partly cloudy
Today 70°·Low 46°·Rain 42%
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Bend weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Bend weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bend swings 62°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 25°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 27 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
87°F average high
Coldest month
January
25°F average low
Wettest month
December
27 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
87,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bend and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bend hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bend 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
72° 47°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
76° 46°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
79° 49°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
80° 54°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
77° 52°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
75° 48°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
75° 51°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
73° 51°
±11°
Sat
Mostly clear
65° 48°
±13°
Sun
Mostly clear
67° 45°
±18°
Mon
Light drizzle
70° 46°
±22°
Tue
Cloudy
73° 47°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
58° 44°
±9°
Thu
Partly cloudy
62° 40°
models agree

Bend, Oregon (OR) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 25°F), with roughly 27 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bend right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bend climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
40°
25°
Feb
43°
27°
Mar
44°
26°
Apr
54°
32°
May
65°
41°
Jun
74°
48°
Jul
87°
56°
Aug
82°
55°
Sep
74°
48°
Oct
62°
40°
Nov
46°
32°
Dec
44°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bend?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F95±1.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
69±3.1°F95±1.7 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°70° to 73°±39%3% to 42% chance
Tomorrow±4°74° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±3°78° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°79° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°75° to 80°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bend

today, local time
Sunrise
06:48
Sunset
19:09
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bend today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bend today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bend today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bend and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bend?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bend (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bend?
July is typically the warmest month in Bend, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Bend get?
The coldest month in Bend is January, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Bend get?
Bend sees roughly 27 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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