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Estero weather

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Estero weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Estero weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Estero swings 33°F across the year, from 91°F highs in July to 58°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 62 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
91°F average high
Coldest month
January
58°F average low
Wettest month
June
62 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
3 months
January, February and December
Residents
31,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Estero and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Estero hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Estero 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Estero, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 58°F), with roughly 62 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Estero right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Estero climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
74°
58°
Feb
78°
58°
Mar
82°
63°
Apr
84°
65°
May
90°
70°
Jun
89°
74°
Jul
91°
76°
Aug
90°
76°
Sep
89°
74°
Oct
85°
70°
Nov
81°
64°
Dec
75°
59°

Which forecast is most accurate in Estero?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F96±1.2 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
56
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F90±3.0 mph548% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Estero today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Estero today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Estero today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Estero and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Estero?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Estero (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 56. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Estero?
July is typically the warmest month in Estero, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Estero get?
The coldest month in Estero is January, when overnight lows average about 58°F.
How much rain does Estero get?
Estero sees roughly 62 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

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