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CheckWeather USFlorence

Florence weather

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Florence weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Florence…

Florence weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Florence swings 67°F across the year, from 109°F highs in July to 42°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 9 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
109°F average high
Coldest month
January
42°F average low
Wettest month
January
9 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, November and December
Residents
31,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Florence and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Florence hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Florence 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Florence, Arizona (AZ) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 109°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 42°F), with roughly 9 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Florence right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Florence climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
63°
42°
Feb
67°
45°
Mar
72°
48°
Apr
85°
56°
May
93°
67°
Jun
103°
76°
Jul
109°
86°
Aug
105°
83°
Sep
102°
76°
Oct
93°
66°
Nov
75°
51°
Dec
71°
46°

Which forecast is most accurate in Florence?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F91±2.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F92±2.5 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Florence today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Florence today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Florence today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Florence and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Florence?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Florence (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Florence?
July is typically the warmest month in Florence, with average highs around 109°F.
How cold does Florence get?
The coldest month in Florence is January, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Florence get?
Florence sees roughly 9 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

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