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Every US forecast, compared
CheckWeather US›Gainesville

Gainesville weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Gainesville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Gainesville, FL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 47°F), with roughly 44 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Gainesville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Gainesville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
68°
47°
Feb
72°
51°
Mar
77°
57°
Apr
83°
60°
May
87°
66°
Jun
91°
72°
Jul
92°
75°
Aug
92°
75°
Sep
88°
71°
Oct
81°
63°
Nov
75°
57°
Dec
68°
50°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Gainesville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Gainesville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Gainesville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Gainesville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Gainesville?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Gainesville forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Gainesville?
Jul is typically the warmest month in Gainesville, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does Gainesville get?
The coldest month in Gainesville is Jan, when overnight lows average about 47°F.
How much rain does Gainesville get?
Gainesville sees roughly 44 in of precipitation a year, with Aug usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

NWSNational Weather Service
Open model · shown above ✓AWAccuWeather
Closed model · open ↗↗TWCThe Weather Channel
Closed model · open ↗↗

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