Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Ocala weather

Loading live data…

Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Ocala's high today between 84° and 88°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks showers around 88°, with a 94% chance of rain.

87°73°
88°72°
89°72°
89°72°
89°72°
88°73°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
88°
Partly cloudy
Today 88°·Low 73°·Rain 12%
AmericanNOAA GFS
88°
Cloudy
Today 88°·Low 73°·Rain 12%
EuropeanECMWF
84°
Drizzle
Today 84°·Low 73°·Rain 73%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Ocala weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Ocala…

Ocala weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Ocala swings 43°F across the year, from 92°F highs in July to 49°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 46 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
92°F average high
Coldest month
January
49°F average low
Wettest month
September
46 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and November
Residents
58,000
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Ocala and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Ocala hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Ocala 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
87° 73°
±4°
Tomorrow
Showers
88° 72°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
89° 72°
models agree
Mon
Showers
89° 72°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
89° 72°
±7°
Wed
Drizzle
88° 73°
±6°
Thu
Drizzle
87° 73°
±5°
Fri
Drizzle
88° 72°
±8°
Sat
Light drizzle
87° 71°
±9°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
86° 70°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
86° 69°
±10°
Tue
Light drizzle
88° 70°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
85° 70°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
78° 71°
models agree

Ocala, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 49°F), with roughly 46 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Ocala right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Ocala climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
68°
49°
Feb
73°
52°
Mar
78°
58°
Apr
82°
61°
May
87°
67°
Jun
90°
72°
Jul
92°
75°
Aug
92°
75°
Sep
88°
72°
Oct
82°
64°
Nov
76°
58°
Dec
69°
52°

Which forecast is most accurate in Ocala?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F96±1.2 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
56
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F92±2.4 mph042% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°84° to 88°±61%12% to 73% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree88° to 89°±66%28% to 94% chance
Sun±3°87° to 91°±41%53% to 94% chance
Mon±5°86° to 91°±18%75% to 93% chance
Tue±7°87° to 94°±33%66% to 99% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ocala

today, local time
Sunrise
07:14
Sunset
19:29
Daylight
12h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ocala today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Ocala today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ocala today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Ocala and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ocala?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ocala (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 56. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ocala?
July is typically the warmest month in Ocala, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does Ocala get?
The coldest month in Ocala is January, when overnight lows average about 49°F.
How much rain does Ocala get?
Ocala sees roughly 46 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather