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CheckWeather USHendersonville
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Hendersonville weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 98° in Hendersonville today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 98°, with a 32% chance of rain.

98°75°
98°75°
97°75°
96°75°
87°71°
83°68°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Sundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
99°
Mostly clear
Today 99°·Low 75°·Rain 3%
AmericanNOAA GFS
99°
Partly cloudy
Today 99°·Low 75°·Rain 3%
EuropeanECMWF
96°
Clear
Today 96°·Low 74°·Rain 18%
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Hendersonville weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Hendersonville weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Hendersonville swings 56°F across the year, from 88°F highs in July to 32°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 63 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
32°F average low
Wettest month
January
63 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
56,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Hendersonville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hendersonville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hendersonville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
98° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
98° 75°
±5°
Sun
Mostly clear
97° 75°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
96° 75°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
87° 71°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
83° 68°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
79° 64°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
80° 63°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
79° 61°
±8°
Sun
Partly cloudy
82° 62°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
83° 62°
±5°
Tue
Heavy showers
78° 59°
±17°
Wed
Clear
75° 56°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
78° 54°
±7°

Hendersonville, Tennessee (TN) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 32°F), with roughly 63 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Hendersonville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Hendersonville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
48°
32°
Feb
58°
38°
Mar
62°
42°
Apr
70°
50°
May
79°
60°
Jun
86°
65°
Jul
88°
71°
Aug
88°
69°
Sep
82°
64°
Oct
73°
54°
Nov
62°
45°
Dec
52°
37°

Which forecast is most accurate in Hendersonville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F95±1.4 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
59
/100rank #2
74±2.6°F94±1.9 mph1855% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°96° to 99°±15%3% to 18% chance
Tomorrow±5°95° to 100°±18%14% to 32% chance
Sun±3°95° to 98°±4%14% to 18% chance
Mon±4°94° to 98°±31%40% to 71% chance
Tue±6°84° to 90°±24%40% to 64% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hendersonville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:31
Sunset
18:49
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hendersonville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Hendersonville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hendersonville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Hendersonville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hendersonville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hendersonville (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the American at 59. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hendersonville?
July is typically the warmest month in Hendersonville, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Hendersonville get?
The coldest month in Hendersonville is January, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does Hendersonville get?
Hendersonville sees roughly 63 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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