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Every US forecast, compared
CheckWeather US›Nashville

Nashville weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Mainly clear
Feels 90° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 55%
AmericanNOAA GFS
84°
Clear
Feels 88° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 39%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Partly cloudy
Feels 88° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 52%

Latest for Nashville: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 83° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 84° Clear · European (ECMWF): 82° Partly cloudy.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Nashville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Nashville, TN is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 32°F), with roughly 61 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Nashville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Nashville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
49°
32°
Feb
59°
39°
Mar
62°
42°
Apr
70°
50°
May
79°
60°
Jun
87°
66°
Jul
89°
70°
Aug
88°
69°
Sep
82°
64°
Oct
74°
53°
Nov
63°
45°
Dec
53°
37°

Which forecast is most accurate in Nashville?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
91
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F95±1.6 mph9597% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
66
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F94±2.0 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Nashville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Nashville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Nashville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Nashville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Nashville?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Nashville forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Nashville?
Jul is typically the warmest month in Nashville, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Nashville get?
The coldest month in Nashville is Jan, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does Nashville get?
Nashville sees roughly 61 in of precipitation a year, with Sep usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

NWSNational Weather Service
Open model · shown above ✓AWAccuWeather
Closed model · open ↗↗TWCThe Weather Channel
Closed model · open ↗↗

Nearby

Forest HillsBrentwoodHermitageBrentwood EstatesGoodlettsvilleHendersonvilleGreen HillMillersville

More US weather

Most accurate forecastUS rain radarAll US citiesHoliday weather abroadThe European model vs the American model: ECMWF vs GFSThe national forecast models, explained: NBM, UKMO, GEM and ACCESS