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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Nashville weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 98° in Nashville today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 97°, with a 41% chance of rain.

98°74°
97°75°
97°74°
96°74°
87°70°
82°68°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
99°
Mostly clear
Today 99°·Low 75°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Cloudy
Today 98°·Low 74°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
96°
Mostly clear
Today 96°·Low 73°·Rain 29%
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Nashville weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Nashville weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Nashville swings 57°F across the year, from 89°F highs in July to 32°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 61 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
89°F average high
Coldest month
January
32°F average low
Wettest month
September
61 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
689,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Nashville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Nashville in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Nashville, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Nashville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Nashville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
98° 74°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
97° 75°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
97° 74°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
96° 74°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
87° 70°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
82° 68°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
79° 64°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
80° 63°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
80° 62°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
82° 62°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
84° 62°
±5°
Tue
Showers
77° 60°
±17°
Wed
Clear
75° 56°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
77° 55°
±6°

Nashville, Tennessee (TN). Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Nashville right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Nashville's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Nashville weather by month

what to expect in Nashville through the year

Here is Nashville's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Nashville by season.

Jan
49°
32°
Cool
Feb
59°
39°
Mild
Mar
62°
42°
Mild
Apr
70°
50°
Mild
May
79°
60°
Warm
Jun
87°
66°
Hot
Jul
89°
70°
Hot
Aug
88°
69°
Hot
Sep
82°
64°
Warm
Wettest
Oct
74°
53°
Warm
Nov
63°
45°
Mild
Dec
53°
37°
Cool

What Nashville's weather is like through the year

Nashville runs from warm summers, with July highs near 89°F, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 32°F (a swing of about 57°F across the year). September is usually the wettest month, and Nashville sees roughly 61 inches of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Nashville

The most comfortable time to visit Nashville is usually March, April, October and November, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest September rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Nashville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F95±1.7 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
71
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±1.8 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Nashville, scoring 85/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 71. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°96° to 99°±24%5% to 29% chance
Tomorrow±3°95° to 99°±28%13% to 41% chance
Sun±1°97° to 98°±7%9% to 16% chance
Mon±4°95° to 99°±32%39% to 71% chance
Tue±3°86° to 89°±12%39% to 51% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Nashville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:32
Sunset
18:49
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Nashville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Nashville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Nashville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Nashville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Nashville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Nashville (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Nashville?
July is typically the warmest month in Nashville, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Nashville get?
The coldest month in Nashville is January, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does Nashville get?
Nashville sees roughly 61 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Nashville?
The most comfortable time to visit Nashville is usually March, April, October and November, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest September rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Nashville?
Rarely - Nashville very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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