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CheckWeather USMcAllen
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

McAllen weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 96° in McAllen today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 98°, with a 63% chance of rain.

96°80°
98°78°
100°78°
99°79°
98°79°
96°80°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
96°
Drizzle
Today 96°·Low 80°·Rain 26%
AmericanNOAA GFS
97°
Showers
Today 97°·Low 82°·Rain 26%
EuropeanECMWF
95°
Thunderstorm
Today 95°·Low 77°·Rain 66%
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McAllen weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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McAllen weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

McAllen swings 43°F across the year, from 98°F highs in June to 55°F lows in January, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 27 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
June
98°F average high
Coldest month
January
55°F average low
Wettest month
April
27 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
3 months
January, February and December
Residents
140,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around McAllen and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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McAllen hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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McAllen 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
96° 80°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
98° 78°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
100° 78°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
99° 79°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
98° 79°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
96° 80°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
93° 79°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
93° 79°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
95° 78°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
96° 77°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
97° 78°
±5°
Tue
Showers
93° 77°
±12°
Wed
Clear
96° 78°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
94° 76°
models agree

McAllen, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 98°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 55°F), with roughly 27 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for McAllen right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

McAllen climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
74°
55°
Feb
77°
58°
Mar
84°
65°
Apr
86°
68°
May
93°
75°
Jun
98°
79°
Jul
96°
79°
Aug
98°
79°
Sep
95°
78°
Oct
88°
70°
Nov
79°
63°
Dec
75°
59°

Which forecast is most accurate in McAllen?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F98±0.5 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F88±3.6 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°95° to 97°±40%26% to 66% chance
Tomorrow±3°97° to 99°±58%5% to 63% chance
Sun±2°99° to 101°±23%4% to 27% chance
Mon±2°99° to 101°±63%19% to 82% chance
Tue±4°96° to 100°±30%44% to 74% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in McAllen

today, local time
Sunrise
07:19
Sunset
19:33
Daylight
12h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in McAllen today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for McAllen today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in McAllen today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for McAllen and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for McAllen?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for McAllen (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in McAllen?
June is typically the warmest month in McAllen, with average highs around 98°F.
How cold does McAllen get?
The coldest month in McAllen is January, when overnight lows average about 55°F.
How much rain does McAllen get?
McAllen sees roughly 27 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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